All posts by b nice

Semper Doctrina—we are always improving and adapting.

Republicans Just Got Smoked

Republicans Just Got Smoked — Are We Finally Seeing the Beginning of Trump’s Political Downfall?

I couldn’t help but notice a pattern as election results rolled in last night: Republicans got absolutely smoked. Everywhere there was a major contest — from local races to big statewide battles — the GOP came up short.

And it wasn’t just one-off races or quirky local issues. It felt bigger. Voters across the country seemed to send the same message: enough with the chaos, the culture wars, and the constant Trump drama.

For years, the Republican Party has tied itself tighter and tighter to Donald Trump, betting that his base could carry them through anything. But now, that bet looks shaky. These results suggest that the MAGA brand isn’t energizing people the way it used to — especially in swing areas where elections are actually won or lost.

I’m not saying Trump is done — far from it. His hold on the GOP is still powerful, and he has a loyal following. But politics is about momentum, and right now, it feels like that momentum is shifting.

Maybe this is the first real sign that voters are starting to move on. Or maybe it’s just a temporary blip before 2024 turns everything upside down again. Either way, something is changing — and Republicans might want to pay attention before it’s too late.

Blue Jays Roster Moves

Here’s a forecast of possible roster moves for the Toronto Blue Jays as they build for the coming seasons after coming so close in the World Series — drawing on current contract situations, free-agent risks, and organizational needs.


🔍 Key contract/free-agent issues

  • Several players on the roster will become free agents or have option years/opt-outs looming. For example: Bo Bichette is a free agent this off-season. 

  • Also, veterans such as Chris Bassitt and Max Scherzer are reaching the end of their contracts or are free agents. 

  • The Blue Jays already locked in core pieces (e.g., Vladimir Guerrero Jr.) for the long term.


🎯 Areas of focus / likely moves

Here are some of the strategic moves they’re likely to explore:

1. Decide on Bichette & middle infield continuity

  • If Bichette departs, the Blue Jays will need to fill the shortstop role (or shift other players). One source suggests they could move Andrés Giménez to shortstop and look for a second-base/third base upgrade. If they re-sign Bichette, they’ll likely structure around him, Guerrero Jr., Giménez — which reduces flexibility elsewhere.

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2. Strengthen and renew the rotation & bullpen

  • With Bassitt and Scherzer potentially gone, the starting rotation depth looks thin. The club will likely either bring in free‐agents/trade arms or promote younger starters. 

  • The bullpen may also be ripe for upgrade; high-leverage arms and depth will matter more now that expectations are elevated.

3. Trade or sign to patch specific weaknesses

  • They may pursue trade targets to fill rotation gaps (see a list of “early look” trade targets cited).

  • On the free-agent market: despite large contracts on the books, they’ll likely target cost-efficient upgrades or players with favourable contract situations rather than mega-deals.

4. Balancing payroll, long-term commitments vs flexibility

  • With big investments already (e.g., Guerrero Jr.’s long-term deal) the Blue Jays will need to balance re-signing key players with preserving financial flexibility. 

  • They may choose not to overspend on aging veterans or players whose value may decline, focusing instead on younger cost-controlled talent and internal development.

5. Internal pipeline / international/free-agent signings

  • As a compliment to external signings/trades, the Blue Jays will likely lean more on their farm system and international signing pool. For example, they are linked to promising prospects abroad.

  • Also, plugging gaps with younger players helps maintain depth over a full 162-game season and into playoffs.


📋 Possible specific moves

Here are some likely concrete scenarios the Blue Jays might pursue:

  • Re-sign Bichette: Offer him a multi-year deal to preserve the infield core (Guerrero Jr. + Giménez + Bichette).

  • Let Bichette walk / sign elsewhere: Then shift Giménez to SS, promote someone like Addison Barger or trade for a stop-gap bench/utility infielder.

  • Sign or trade for a starting pitcher: Perhaps one of the mid-tier free-agents or a trade target to replace Bassitt/Scherzer if they depart.

  • Add a cost-effective bullpen arm or swingman starter: Especially someone who can handle high-leverage innings.

  • Extend younger pieces / secure internal options: Ensure that younger players or breakout candidates are locked in or rewarded so they don’t leave in arbitration or free agency.

  • Use international signing pool / prospects: Add depth via the IFA market and the farm system to ensure future sustainability.


✅ Overall assessment

The Blue Jays are in a “win-now” window: they came very close to a championship, so the front office’s job is to capitalize on that momentum rather than wait. That means securing key players, filling the biggest roster holes (especially pitching and infield depth), and balancing long-term sustainability with immediate competitiveness.

If they execute well, they should remain serious contenders. If they mismanage any of the above — let core pieces walk, fail to upgrade pitching, or overspend without results — the window could shrink quickly.

Oh So So Close

The Toronto Blue Jays’ near-championship in the 2025 Fall Classic — coming up just short in Game 7 — has significant implications for the team’s future. Below are the major impacts and the questions they face.


✅ Positive momentum & organizational culture

  • The Blue Jays’ front office and coaching staff believe this season has “set a new expectation and a new standard” for the franchise.

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  • They now have proof that their roster mix, culture and identity can contend, which can help with recruiting, player morale, and fan support.

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  • Economically and branding-wise, the team is in a stronger position: big TV viewership, heightened interest, which gives ownership more license to invest.

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⚠️ Roster sustainability & free agency risks

Several key players are set to hit free agency or make decisions that affect the roster:

  • Bo Bichette (shortstop) is one of the biggest questions. After a strong return from injury and an important Game 7 home run, his free-agent status looms.

  • Several veteran pitchers — Chris Bassitt, Max Scherzer, and Shane Bieber (via player option) — are nearing or at free agency risk.

  • The club needs to ensure continuity of the core and also have adequate depth, especially on the mound, as some players age or depart.


🎯 Next-step investments & strategy

Having gotten so close, the Blue Jays are shifting from “could we contend?” to “we should win.” That brings new strategic demands:

  • They need to capitalize on this window and perhaps not accept incremental improvements — the goal now is the championship. 

  • They must spend wisely: With big contracts already in place (for example, the extension of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.) they must balance long-term commitments with flexibility.

  • Player development remains key: Younger arms (e.g., Trey Yesavage) and internal growth will matter alongside external acquisitions.

  • Health and durability: With some players returning from injury or battling late-season fatigue, building depth and managing workload is essential.


🔍 Key questions for the coming offseason

Here are the big questions the organization must answer:

  • Will the team re-sign key free agents (particularly Bichette) or allow departures and restructure accordingly?

  • How will they address the starting rotation for 2026 and beyond? Are they adding arms or relying on internal arms?

  • Can the club maintain its identity (relentless at-bats, strong defence, power) while adapting to individual weaknesses exposed in the postseason?

  • How much will ownership invest, and how will they balance big contracts with long-term financial health and flexibility?

  • Will the near-miss galvanize the team (and fan base) toward a championship push, or could there be regression from the emotional toll of the loss?


In summary: The Blue Jays’ loss does not derail their trajectory — in many ways, it accelerates expectations. They’re now firmly viewed as a title-contender rather than a rising hope, but that also raises the pressure and stakes of their decisions moving forward.

Assessed Value Could See a 1.5¢ Drop per $100

Taxpayers in the City of Saint John could be looking forward to a bit of a break on their property taxes next for 2026.

The city’s finance committee voted Oct. 29 to recommend to council a budget that includes a 1.5-cent reduction on property taxes. The cut would bring the rate down to $1.535 per $100 of assessed value.

Property assessments would seea a slight decrease, with the assessed value falling by 1.5 cents per $100 of value. While modest, this change reflects subtle shifts in market conditions and valuation adjustments.

For property owners, the impact will likely be minimal — for example, a property assessed at $250,000 would see its taxable assessed value reduced by approximately $37.50.

This drop may signal a cooling trend in certain segments of the market or adjustments in assessment methodologies. Stakeholders are encouraged to review their property assessments and stay informed about local valuation trends.